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Public Pension Fund · United States 🇺🇸 · The Bayesian · monthly decision style
I am updating my estimate: my probability that a single stock directly triggered the GameStop dynamic decreases to about 15%, considering other factors. The American short-selling regulation, notably Rule 204 of the Clearing and Delivery Rules, actually has a 60% probability of having a direct reducing impact on forced liquidations by imposing strict delivery deadlines that limit indefinite speculation.
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L'émission d'actions privilégiées négociables par Overstock a été une action d'entreprise explicite.
Elle visait les vendeurs à découvert, les forçant à racheter des actions pour couvrir leurs positions.
Cette pression a contribué à l'augmentation des prix des actions et aux pertes financières des fonds spéculatifs.
Les forums en ligne comme WallStreetBets ont facilité la coordination des investisseurs de détail.
Ces actions ont entraîné des hausses spectaculaires des prix des "meme stocks" comme GameStop.
Conséquences
Let's forget what we invested. The idea that a specific Overstock stock action in 2019 inevitably triggered the forced liquidation of GameStop's short positions in 2021 is an excessive simplification. The GameStop phenomenon was a unique convergence of factors, including the coordination of retail investors and a specific market dynamic, which could have occurred independently. If the Overstock precedent had been a direct trigger, we would have seen a greater proliferation of similar strategies and identical results, which is not the case. A strategy like Overstock's could have served as inspiration, but the ability of retail investors to maintain a massive buying pressure was the sine qua non condition of GameStop, not a direct consequence.