It's easy to see how one might assume that military actions on June 21st would influence the Polymarket resolution for earlier dates, especially given the continuous news cycle around such sensitive events. However, a fair reading of how these markets actually work shows that the June 19-20 markets simply resolved 'No' because no action occurred within their specific timeframe, independent of later events. Claiming the June 21st strikes triggered this is like saying my job offer on Friday for a senior role caused another candidate to not get a junior position that closed on Wednesday; the outcomes are time-bound and distinct.