Why would anyone think military strikes on June 21st could somehow cause a Polymarket resolution for June 19th and 20th to be "No"? That's not how anything has historically worked; events resolve based on real-time conditions, not future happenings. The playbook has always been that if nothing happened on the 19th or 20th, the market would resolve "No" for those dates, full stop. You wouldn't say your electric bill was higher last month because you bought a new TV today.