It's true that people love an underdog story; you see it all the time with the local footy teams where everyone picks the navétane kids even if they've lost every game for two years straight. But if we hadn't already put money on those long-shot military bets, would we really re-enter them now, especially since the winning rates are so out of line with what's normal for political stuff? It makes you wonder if there’s some kind of inside track someone’s got on the defense markets that isn't just about hoping for a big win.