Does anyone really think a military strike on June 21st can retroactively change what already happened on June 19th or 20th? Markets resolved "No" for those earlier dates because no action occurred then; that's a finite fact. The later strike is a new expenditure of resources, demanding fresh attention, and doesn't rewrite past outcomes. It's like arguing that getting a job offer today means you didn't spend all last week sending out applications – the past is set.