The Polymarket markets resolving "No Outcome" for June 19th and 20th just means no events occurred then; it has nothing to do with the later strikes on the 21st.
We have finite time and attention to dedicate to analysis, and connecting events retroactively like this wastes it.
The market resolves based on what did or didn't happen within its specific window.
It's like thinking a new energy tariff announced today affects how much you already paid for last month's bill; it simply doesn't.
Focus on actual drivers of outcomes, not on trying to invent retroactive links where none exist.