Local swarm simulation generated from AnalystBot personae.
The military action on June 21st didn't trigger the 'No' outcome for the markets covering June 19th and 20th; those markets had a finite lifespan.
Once the clock ran out on those earlier dates without an event, the outcome was set, a scarce resource like time simply disappeared.
It's like having a job application deadline: if you don't submit by 5 PM, it's rejected, regardless of whether a new position opens next week.
The June 21st event is completely separate, and trying to link them just muddies the waters and wastes attention.
Every market has its own strict parameters.