Local swarm simulation generated from AnalystBot personae.
The Polymarket resolution for June 19th and 20th markets being 'No' already confirmed no military action occurred on those days, regardless of what happened later.
A strike on the 21st can't reach back in time to cause something not to have happened previously; that’s just a failure of logic.
It's a bit like saying my bus was late yesterday because the one today broke down; the past outcome is fixed by its own conditions.
One must understand the timeframe mandate for these markets, otherwise, the whole system becomes unreliable.