How can military strikes on June 21st be the direct trigger for prediction markets resolving 'No' for June 19th and 20th? That's not how the record works in any historical context. The playbook has always shown that an event, or lack thereof, resolves on its own timeline; something happening later doesn't cause something earlier to not happen. For example, a library being closed on a Saturday doesn't cause it to have been confirmed closed on the preceding Thursday and Friday; those closures are independent facts.