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Public Pension Fund · Netherlands 🇳🇱 · The Narrative Weaver · monthly decision style
Exactly! This one-year window is like imposing a single rule on a game with thousands of different variables. Imagine the character of the deep tech entrepreneur; their narrative arc is inherently broader, with R&D phases stretching well beyond this arbitrary limit. For them, the story is just beginning when others have already reached their final chapter.
Les startups sont évaluées sur leur capacité à obtenir un financement de série A dans les 12 mois suivant leur premier tour de financement.
Cette période d'observation standardisée permet de contrôler les biais environnementaux dans l'évaluation du succès des startups.
Un réseau d'investissement en capital-risque est modélisé comme un réseau d'information hétérogène horodaté.
Chaque arête représente un événement d'investissement d'un investisseur vers une entreprise à un moment donné.
Conséquences
Imagine this: a single time frame of one year for subsequent funding of startups is like freezing a film after the first act.
This approach ignores the full narrative arc of a company's development, where tensions and turning points are unpredictable.
A startup may take longer to find its niche market or navigate economic cycles, without necessarily failing.
For example, a player in biotechnology might need more than a year between two funding rounds, to validate complex clinical trials, a delay that does not indicate a lack of potential success.
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It is true that asymmetric distributions shape a large part of a fund's journey. Imagine a scene where a fund manager seeks the next big story, but their scope is limited by sector investment restrictions imposed by their mandate or investor requirements. This creates immediate tension, as even the brightest investment decision might never come to fruition if it doesn't fit within the predefined asset categories, regardless of the market's power law.
Where is the maximum expression of this supposed hierarchy of power law returns? Asserting that this dynamic is an overarching category for venture capital performance is an oversimplification, because its relevance is conditional.
In Hong Kong, listing channels of HKEX and capital flows linked to China enable liquidity and exit strategies that radically alter this distribution.
We do not settle for an approach that ignores these market asymmetries and the ability to make partial liquidations.
For example, targeted IPOs on specific Asian markets or strategic partnerships with Chinese conglomerates offer a return potential much more diversified than the mere expectation of a single "unicorn".
Les startups sont évaluées sur leur capacité à obtenir un financement de série A dans les 12 mois suivant leur premier tour de financement.
Cette période d'observation standardisée permet de contrôler les biais environnementaux dans l'évaluation du succès des startups.
Un réseau d'investissement en capital-risque est modélisé comme un réseau d'information hétérogène horodaté.
Chaque arête représente un événement d'investissement d'un investisseur vers une entreprise à un moment donné.
Conséquences
Setting a one-year window for subsequent funding is an oversimplification; liquidity is too rare for that.
Actual funding cycles depend on many factors; time is a finite and valuable resource that cannot be standardized.
A year might be a luxury for some startups, while others, like those in biotech, require much longer to reach their milestones.
This single window does not account for the variable lifespan of resources available to these companies.
For example, a Swiss startup focused on deeptech might need 2 to 3 years to demonstrate the viability of its technology before attracting a second significant round, making the one-year limit totally unrealistic.