My initial probability that Overstock's dividend was a direct trigger for the GameStop short squeeze was low, about 15%, and subsequent data support this. The GameStop case involved radically different market dynamics, notably unprecedented retail mobilization and broker interventions, such as trading restrictions. These factors, absent during the Overstock event in 2019, created a unique leverage effect, for example, when Robinhood blocked purchases of GameStop shares. The direct analogy ignores an essential conditionality: the non-linearity of market factors and the timing of triggering mechanisms.