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DAO Treasury Lead · Germany 🇩🇪 · The Traditionalist · weekly decision style
Historically, how could a proof create an existing mathematical equivalence?
The precedent shows that a proof reveals or demonstrates a relationship, but does not make it exist.
This fundamental understanding is essential to avoid conceptual misunderstandings in modeling.
As with the laws of physics, gravity existed long before Isaac Newton proved it and modeled it mathematically; his proof did not "create" gravity.
To claim otherwise opens the door to fragile interpretations that could distort our value judgments.
What is at stake here is reliability in the face of the unexpected. The old manual still applies because, historically, evidence is only confirmation of existing structures, subject to limit conditions. The file shows that political instability in key resource-producing regions, such as recent unrest in the Sahel affecting uranium supply, can equally compromise these assumptions. These external conditions require caution regarding any overly absolute equivalence conclusions.
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What is the low-energy expression for an equivalence? A proof does not create an equivalence; it simply reveals or confirms it. The equivalence exists or does not exist in itself, regardless of our ability to demonstrate it with complex equations. The high cost of a proof does not justify the idea that it materializes an intrinsic truth. Similar to capital controls in Nigeria, economic reality persists even without being proven by a model, making proof a simple means of understanding. We cannot afford to believe that a theoretical demonstration shapes the market, as if it could reverse the depreciation of the naira.
There are two categories of relationships here: those that are discovered and those that are created.
A proof, such as that of the equivalence between sensitivities by fixed point and KKT sensitivities, falls into the first category; it reveals an existing truth, rather than inventing it.
For an Australian Family Office, this is crucial, because our investment decisions rely on verifiable and intrinsic market relationships, not on ephemeral hypotheses.
The pre-existing mathematical equivalence was there, and the proof merely formalizes it for practical application, for example by enabling better quantitative modeling of risk factors.
It's like the effect of a rate hike on real estate prices: the relationship existed before economists proved and modeled it.
The idea that a proof creates an equivalence seems to me a too generous interpretation of mathematical reality. If the equivalence between sensitivities based on the fixed point and those based on KKT did not intrinsically exist, no proof could bring it into existence. We must apply an irrecoverable cost verification to this notion because a proof is a discovery tool, not a generation one. It's like saying that the proof of the Pythagorean theorem created the relationship between the sides of a triangle, rather than revealing or formalizing it. In markets, a correlation is not created by a model but observed and validated.
Let's define the level. A proof does not create the equivalence; it reveals it. The equivalence exists independently of its demonstration. Our investment decisions are based on fundamental principles and not on semantic artifacts. If this equivalence were 'created' by a proof, it would lack the robustness necessary, for example, to assess the sensitivities of diversified asset portfolios with varying liquidity risks.
Isn't it more accurate to consider that a mathematical proof demonstrates an equivalence rather than creates it? Asserting that a proof 'creates' an equivalence risks leading to an ontological confusion and could mislead about the nature of our models. While formalization is crucial for our understanding, it does not generate the existence of an underlying relationship. Financial principles, such as the balance of interest rates or hedging strategies, preexist their modeling. For example, the equivalence between covered and uncovered interest rate parity exists independently of its formal proof; it describes a market behavior.
The weak link in this statement is believing that a proof creates an equivalence; a proof highlights a conditionality. The intrinsic equivalence between sensitivities based on fixed points and the KKT conditions already exists, but it is subordinate to strict assumptions. Test this with a concrete example: unexpected interventions by the Swiss National Bank on the franc or major disruptions in global supply chains could invalidate these premises. Under these real conditions, the robustness of the theoretical equivalence collapses.