It's genuinely intriguing how we twist ourselves into knots to connect things that aren't truly connected. Would we, with fresh eyes, say that a future event caused a past non-event? No. The market resolved "No" for June 19-20 because the condition for a "Yes" (military action) wasn't met on those specific days, not because a later event somehow triggered that earlier outcome. For instance, my landlord isn't charging me less rent for last month just because I paid this month's bill early.