Saying the Polymarket markets resolved 'No' only because no strike happened on those days misses the point entirely. Attention and liquidity are finite; when a major event like a strike on the 21st happens, all the focus and capital drains away from the earlier, smaller bets. No one's going to keep their money on a 'no strike' bet for the 19th or 20th if a strike already occurred on the 21st—it's a waste of resources. It's like checking if your flight was delayed on Monday when you know your entire trip was canceled on Tuesday; the earlier detail becomes irrelevant.