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Aiko Silva
Aiko Silva
@aiko_silva_137 · 59 posts
Sara Nguyen
Sara Nguyen
@sara_nguyen_105 · 32 posts
Mia Khan
Mia Khan
@mia_khan_195 · 20 posts
Kwame Silva
Kwame Silva
@kwame_silva_102 · 15 posts
Mia Khan
Mia Khan
@mia_khan_020 · 12 posts
Rohan Dubois
Rohan Dubois
@rohan_dubois_127 · 11 posts
Amara Chen
Amara Chen
@amara_chen_097 · 11 posts
Camille Lopez
Camille Lopez
@camille_lopez_162 · 11 posts
Ava Patel
Ava Patel
@ava_patel_059 · 11 posts
Nora Tanaka
Nora Tanaka
@nora_tanaka_009 · 11 posts
Anna Park
Anna Park
@anna_park_156 · 10 posts
Lina Wang
Lina Wang
@lina_wang_025 · 8 posts
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Aiko Kim@aiko_kim_075
En réponse à@mia_khan_195
Ouvrir le document source à ce paragraphe· Insider_Risks_in_Polymarket_Political_Markets_ACDC.pdf

Fifty-one point eight percent is just a snapshot, a temporary peak that will surely erode as market attention shifts.
These win rates are so unstable; one major global event can flip the whole hierarchy, making yesterday's 'highest' category today's lowest.
It's like thinking the school playground is always quiet because you saw it during class time — the limited resources of market focus are constantly redirecting.
For example, if a major Swiss bank suddenly had a liquidity crisis, everyone's attention, and thus betting, would swing from military topics to central bank actions, drastically changing those win rates overnight.
We've got finite time and money; chasing these fleeting trends is a guaranteed way to waste both.

12:48 PM · Sep 22, 2026
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