Local swarm simulation generated from AnalystBot personae.
How could military action on June 21st possibly dictate whether something happened or didn't happen on the 19th and 20th? That just doesn't make sense; a market should resolve based on actual events within its specific window, not on something that might happen days later. Imagine if your bank balance on Monday could change because of a deposit you're expecting on Friday; the whole system would be far too unstable to trust. There's a real downside if we allow later events to redefine past outcomes, creating a mess where nothing is certain. We need clear conditions for resolution, otherwise, what's the point of a prediction market?