I am updating to a 60% probability that the decline in audiovisual investments in Australia was a significant catalyst, but not the sole trigger for the new streaming quotas. My previous estimate of a direct link was probably too high, at 80%, given international regulatory precedents. The pressure for proactive regulation of streaming platforms was already palpable (p=0.85), regardless of investment fluctuations. For example, similar discussions and the implementation of quotas in Europe for local production often preceded drastic investment declines, indicating an existing political trend. Therefore, causality is more likely conditional, with the decline amplifying an already existing dynamic rather than initiating it.